Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 416.207485 472.712451 535.329580 610.084077 697.182245 795.793806 916.366704
2026-01-04 342.285060 419.079564 511.940119 633.425270 789.526841 985.205384 1251.960032
2026-01-11 295.470240 379.586982 487.208516 636.781884 842.100183 1118.207859 1524.743954
2026-01-18 256.794928 342.541176 457.234430 624.531309 866.829242 1212.119504 1754.561460
2026-01-25 227.362512 312.978880 431.867753 612.582680 886.720755 1297.738271 1981.801363
2026-02-01 211.728838 300.157218 427.347708 628.402194 947.274867 1449.590865 2334.693996
2026-02-08 193.886005 281.831251 412.192480 625.351860 976.822556 1555.216256 2627.882554
2026-02-15 177.955476 264.526547 396.364742 618.646025 998.411448 1649.106439 2915.075201
2026-02-22 166.636294 253.056822 388.124672 622.707325 1037.640922 1777.479650 3287.482591
2026-03-01 153.894725 238.087944 372.683544 612.614537 1050.249082 1858.843368 3582.248710
2026-03-08 143.870939 226.577160 361.702083 608.729909 1073.023100 1961.477401 3938.603895
2026-03-15 131.638460 210.393388 341.410296 586.037006 1057.580134 1987.181054 4133.965169
2026-03-22 127.669222 208.003319 344.839403 607.516535 1131.073316 2205.087701 4812.702739
2026-03-29 124.325744 206.409705 349.518053 631.908251 1213.928570 2456.891823 5633.662880
2026-04-05 118.183602 199.343299 343.643326 635.120813 1253.333030 2620.266036 6274.309290
2026-04-12 110.523577 188.946607 330.730778 622.922280 1258.158947 2705.829127 6731.568521
2026-04-19 103.610210 179.395244 318.599473 611.007502 1261.970704 2789.452282 7204.134637
2026-04-26 100.668550 176.965374 319.791623 626.780075 1330.104364 3040.338466 8224.152959
2026-05-03 95.762447 170.463047 312.514749 623.738821 1354.141766 3184.574189 8963.298463
2026-05-10 90.848452 163.599675 303.973133 617.052978 1368.574054 3306.284556 9665.950579
2026-05-17 87.433710 159.404857 300.449009 621.102175 1409.776352 3507.191964 10691.284957
2026-05-24 82.859183 152.619647 291.111521 611.039439 1414.205844 3606.869014 11396.617317
2026-05-31 79.205754 147.438857 284.721711 607.166357 1434.128726 3754.757363 12324.864223